Physics-Informed Digital Twin for Climate-Induced Degradation Prediction in Aging Coastal Bridges

Authors

  • Rhys Thornton Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, LS2 9JT Author
  • Eloise Mercer School of Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering, Loughborough University, Loughborough, United Kingdom, LE11 3TU Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51903/19t45v40

Keywords:

Bridge Degradation, Chloride-Induced Corrosion, Digital Twin, Physics-Informed Learning, Structural Health Monitoring

Abstract

Climate change has accelerated the deterioration of aging coastal bridges by increasing chloride exposure and environmental variability, creating significant challenges for long-term Structural Health Monitoring. While Digital Twin technology enables real-time infrastructure monitoring, existing approaches often lack explicit representation of the physical mechanisms governing structural degradation. This study aims to develop a Physics-Informed Digital Twin framework by integrating Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) with Internet of Things (IoT)-based sensing for long-term prediction of climate-induced bridge deterioration. The proposed framework combines real-time sensor synchronization, chloride diffusion physics, and deep learning to improve predictive accuracy and physical consistency. The model achieved a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.98, a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.041, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.056, and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.84%, while accurately simulating structural degradation over a 50-year service life under multiple coastal microclimate scenarios. The novelty of this study lies in the integration of physics-informed learning, chloride transport mechanisms, and Digital Twin technology into a unified predictive framework for coastal bridge deterioration assessment. This framework extends conventional Digital Twin systems from monitoring to physics-guided prognostic analysis, providing a reliable tool for predictive maintenance and infrastructure resilience. The findings demonstrate that incorporating governing physical laws into Digital Twin architectures substantially improves the robustness, accuracy, and engineering reliability of long-term degradation prediction for aging coastal bridges.

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Published

2026-10-02

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